云亭数学讲坛2024第74讲——王宾国教授

文章来源:太阳成tyc7111cc发布日期:2024-11-27浏览次数:10


应太阳成tyc7111cc邀请,兰州大学王宾国教授为太阳成t官网师生作学术报告。

报告题目:Dynamical Behaviors of an Almost Periodic SVEIR Warning Model in a Patchy Environment

报告摘要:Prevention and control of infectious diseases is one of the important public health issues faced by countries around the world. The outbreak of infectious diseases is the result of a combination of various factors, including seasonal factor, individual movement between different regions leading to spread, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and effectiveness and availability of vaccines, all of which are important factors in disease transmission and outbreaks. Taking these key conditions into consideration, an almost periodic SVEIR warning model in the patch environment is proposed. Firstly, by means of the reproductions numbers, our results implies that the effective reproductions numbers , the disease gradually disappears; when , the disease spreads and leads to local outbreaks. Secondly, the relationship between  and ,  is given by numerical simulation. The numerical results show that even if all people are vaccinated, non-drug interventions are still crucial due to the low efficacy of vaccines. Furthermore, the numerical results suggest that even after vaccination, non-drug interventions and increased vaccine effectiveness are needed to achieve herd immunity. The establishment of this model effectively explains the transmission mechanism of most infectious diseases, providing a valuable reference for analyzing novel infectious diseases in the future. Moreover, this model is beneficial for the prevention and control of infectious diseases and the formulation of public health safety policies in the future.

报告时间:2024120410:00

报告地点:教学9号楼D07

邀 请 人:杨和 教授

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报告人简介:

 王宾国,理学博士,兰州大学太阳成tyc7111cc教授,硕士导师。美国“数学评论”评论员。主要从事非自治情形下传染病模型动力学行为研究。相关结果发表在J. Dyn. Diff. Equ.,J. Dyn. Equ.,J. Math.Biol., European Journal of Applied Mathematics,Zeitschrift fuer Angewandte Mathematik und Physik,Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems A,Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems B,Nonlinear Dynamics上。主持天元基金、国家自然科学基金青年基金、甘肃省青年基金、国家自然科学基金卓越青年基金子课题各一项。参与国家自然科学基金重点项目一项。


甘肃省数学与统计学基础学科研究中心

太阳成tyc7111cc